Nor’easter threatens 75 million from the Southeast to New England


The storm is due to form Friday off the coast of the Carolinas and rapidly strengthen as it moves north up the East Coast overnight into Saturday. Eastern Massachusetts, including Boston, and Rhode Island could see between 12 to 24 inches of snow combined with wind gusts up to 64 mph, according to forecast models.

Blizzard warnings have been issued for 4 million people in coastal areas from Maine to Massachusetts and from New Jersey to Maryland. Included are Portland, Maine; Boston; Atlantic City, New Jersey; and Ocean City, Maryland, for the risk of blowing snow due to high winds. Whiteout conditions will make travel difficult to impossible, the National Weather Service predicts.

New York City could get 8 to 12 inches of snow, while 14 inches could pile up elsewhere in the state and in Connecticut, with wind gusts as strong as 55 mph, the weather service predicts.
Winter weather alerts also are in place Friday as far south as Kentucky and North Carolina. Virginia is under a state of emergency. And already, more than 1,200 US flights are canceled Saturday, according to FlightAware.
“The heaviest snowfall is likely to fall across a swath extending from the Eastern Shore of Maryland up through most of Maine where 6-12 inches are likely. Parts of coastal New England, where blizzard conditions are forecast, may see between 1-2 feet of snow with locally higher amounts possible, specifically over coastal Massachusetts,” the Weather Prediction Center said early Friday.

“Powerful winter storm to produce significant impacts across parts of New England and coastal Mid-Atlantic/Northeast on Saturday,” it said. In a blizzard, snow is joined by winds gusting over 35 mph for more than three hours, creating visibility of less than a quarter mile.

Snow, wind and coastal flooding to slam Northeast

The storm is expected to unleash a double whammy of heavy snowfall and strong winds throughout parts of the Northeast, but the exact impact across the region remains in question.

“This storm is likely to strengthen at a rate, and to an intensity, equivalent to only the most powerful hurricanes, so the high-end potential of this storm cannot be overstated,” CNN meteorologist Brandon Miller said. “But with nor’easters, like in real estate, it will all come down to location, location, location.”

Portions of northeastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia could see up to 3 inches of snow, with winds as high as 35 mph, according to the National Weather Service.

The storm could drop up to 8 inches of snow in Philadelphia, while portions of Delaware may see as many as 10 inches, according to multiple forecast models. In New Jersey, northeastern parts of the state may see up to 9 inches of snow as winds gusts reach as high as 50 mph, the weather service said.
Extremely cold temperatures are a possibility, the Weather Prediction Center warned, as is coastal flooding. And the stronger the storm, the greater the coastal surge along the coast will be.

“Coastal flooding is a concern thanks to astronomically high tides on Saturday,” the weather service office in Boston said. “The combination of strong northeast winds and high seas will bring storm surges that, if coinciding with high tide, would lead to minor or moderate coastal flooding.”

The difference in storm timing — even as few as six hours — would make a massive difference in impact on coastal flooding and erosion concerns.

The storm is expected to strengthen through a process called bombogenesis. Also referred to as a bomb cyclone, it happens when a storm drops a certain amount of atmospheric pressure over 24 hours.

New York City forecast remains uncertain

New York City could get between 8 and 12 inches of snow, with wind gusts over 50 mph, according to CNN meteorologists. However, the weather service early Friday said there is a 10% chance the bomb cyclone may dump more than 17 inches of snow there — and also gives a 10% chance of zero snow.

A European forecast model shows New York City on the edge of the snow-or-no-snow divide but still predicts a heaping pile of snow. The American model shows nearly nothing for the city. A third model indicates a foot or more of snow.

And direction is playing a vital role in this storm’s projection, CNN meteorologist Chad Myers pointed out.

“It’s like a bowling ball going right down the middle or slightly off-center. You can get a 7-10 split or a strike with only an inch difference,” Myers said. “I think the models will come together as we get closer to the event.”

CNN’s Judson Jones and Robert Shackelford contributed to this report.





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